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Paul V.S. Millman    (won)

I'm hesitant to provide a detailed breakdown here of the tourny stats because there isn't enough data as there has been only 3 matches between both of the players.  Tommy Paul has looked great in his previous two matches, especially in the return of serve department.  He also, absolutely slaughtered Albot in the second set 6-0.  Millman played an incredibly steady game, beating Verdasco for the second time in a week 2-0.  

Millman has struggled on the tour since the restart, losing to bad Zverev brother then to the good one (but taking a set).  Paul, has fared relatively well but hasn't been able to make the impact that his team hopes for considering his overwhelming talent, but he's young... I think this time next year he will be in the top 25 if he is motivated enough.  

While Paul has more talent and potential and a bigger future than Millman, Millman is the more consistent and professional at the moment.  Beating Verdasco in consecutive matches is no easy task, even if Verdasco is out of form. 

Starling says: The odds opened favoring the higher ranked Paul but have since adjusted to support Millman (only slight deviations in each shift).  When I look at this matchup I have to consider the opponents faced in the past several weeks from both players and take into account the career indoor hardcourt permances.  In both instances Millman outshines the up and coming Paul.  For their first ever match I have to back the Aussie (despite his ugly loss to the bad Zverev borther).  John Millman on the Moneyline.

Published: 30-10-2020, 07:51 CET Pick: Millman - ML
Odds: 1.91 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 30-10-2020
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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