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Pella v Sousa    (lost)

This odds are ridiculuos.We have 2 players with similar style of play.Both grinders,both good in long relies,weaker on serve.Odds are inflated due to Pella's good run in MC last week.But we have to take fact that he played probably one of best matches vs Nadal and was totaly exosted.Also he took several MTO.Typicaly i like to play against players in this spot.He is in the moment overated,probably fatigued and has negative H2H against Sousa.Truth is that Sousa is not playing best tennis in this moment but in this kind of match up,i think he has to use oportunity.No value in HC for me,maybe +1.5 sets,but i played ML with the local bookie who counts retirement as defeat.
Published: 23-04-2019, 12:12 CET Pick: Sousa
Odds: 3.12 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 23-04-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 9)



Benbross 23-04-2019, 15:56
Agree with that. You can also add H2H + Barcelona is the place where Joao live so he is like at home here. Good value for me also with the bad form of Joao
Heisenbergabq 23-04-2019, 19:09
Well done Joao..Gambled set and break

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