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Petrol Olimpija - KK Primorska    (won)

Slovenia, playoffs finals, Game 2

Primorska has won the first game at home with 79:61. So pretty easy although this advantage was made mainly in the 4th quarter. 
As mentioned few times in earlier picks, Primorska is the best team in Slovenia in this season. They have won the Cup of Slovenia, got promoted from ABA 2 to ABA and now almost for sure will win also the championship title.
What more, I wouldn't be surprised if this series ends with 3:0. Today handicap is around 5.5 to 6 pts Primorska favorite. That's probably not bad choice but I like more totals (over). 
The small concern is that Olimpija plays way slower pace and way lower scoring games since Jure Zdovc took over the team. But I feel they need to score today 70+ pts if want to stay close.
H2H, 1-1 in regular season but those were games long ago, especially the first one here in Ljubljana when Olimpija has won. In more recent, in champions group, just before playoffs, Primorska has won both meetings. Those games were 5 weeks ago. Here in Ljubljana 72:85 while few days later in Koper 73:69. So, the second game with low score but totally uncharacteristically only 24 pts overall in the 4th quarter. 
My opinion is that Primorska will be today around 80 pts. Whether they covers, depends on Olimpija offense. But the host in any case should score enough to game hits over.
Also Primorska team totals over 76.5 pts seems like worth a risk. 
Published: 21-05-2019, 01:58 CET Pick: Over 145.5 pts
Odds: 1.92 at SBOBET


Category: Slovenian basketball
Date: 21-05-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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