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Philly - Blue Jays    (won)

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Jays are playing fantastic ball as of late. It was also about time. Before the season started, I had them as my dark horse (together with the Mets) but in the middle of the season, they disappointed a bit, being inconstant. This is not the case as of late, they are 20-10 in their last 30 games. They have so much offensive power, a really scary lineup with guys like Springer, Vlad, Chapman, Kirk...a lot of speed and power. Also, today's starter Stripling has been helpful with an ERA of 2.94. He pitched a little worse, K-Stuff is not the best, but overall a really solid pitcher with nice control (1.51 BB/9). The fact is that he allows very few home runs as well (0.83 HR/9). He pitched 7 scoreless innings against the Phillies this season.

The Phillies are playing a lot better since they released the overrated Girardi. They are still in the fight for the postseason, but they lost four in a row as the Braves swept them. They start with RHP Gibson. Overall a solid guy, especially when his sinker is on, he is a sinkerballer after all.

Well, his sinker is not that good, Het gets a 46.1 Gb%, decent, but not great. I have to say, he got 11 double-plays with his sinker, this is a lot, BUT not significant considering the fact that the throws the sinker the most.  Also, opponents hit .303 off his sinker. Moreover, the Blue Jays are solid against this very pitch. Indeed, they rank 8th in pitch value vs the sinker.

-The Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.

Jays have a fantastic track record in Philly, they play always well in the first game of a series and I go big here (3.5 stake ML, 1.5 RL).
Published: 21-09-2022, 00:15 CET Pick: Toronto -1.5
Odds: 2.48 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 21-09-2022
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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