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| PICKS | STAKES | PROFIT |
| 419 | 4190 | +36.4 |
| YIELD | AVG ✓ ODDS | AVG ✗ ODDS |
| +1% | 1.83 | 1.93 |
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This matchup has consistently favoured the "under," hitting in three of the last four meetings last season, with both teams averaging 163.5 points per game. Moreover, the "under" record stands at 6-3 in the last nine meetings between these two teams.
The Mercury are facing significant challenges this season following the loss of four of their top five scorers. While they managed to score 81 points in their season opener, it wasn't nearly enough, as their opponent only put up 59 points. They're not pushing the pace, and that trend will likely continue as they work on building team chemistry.
Meanwhile, the Sparks have struggled offensively, shooting just 46 per cent in their first game and declining to 40 per cent in their second. Given their performance, I have no doubt this game will fall under the total points. The evidence strongly points to a low-scoring affair.
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