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Poland - Serbia    (lost)

Serbia against Poland on the World Volleyball Championship. This is the third stage, two groups, both with three teams while two first two placed  from both groups are going into Semifinal.
In this group beside Serbia and Poland is also Italy, the host of the tournament.

In the opening game of this group Serbia was better from Italy. It was really impressive performance from Serbia and convincing 3-0 in sets at the end. So, now Serbian team holds everything in their own hands. They are very close to securing place into SF.
Today Serbia is big favorite but have in mind one set would be enough for them to qualify.

Poland IMO is not only the weakest in the group but also the weakest among six teams that reached this third stage. The fact Poland was 6-2 after two stages (the same as Serbia) and the fact Poland back then easily defeated Serbia with 3-0 and by sets 25:17, 25:16, 25:14, is not showing the real picture. Namely, in the first stage (5-0) Poland was in not too tough group where the biggest competition they have had in Bulgarian and team of Iran. In second stage it was visible Polish team is not good at all. Back then France eaaily defeated them while even Argentina was too strong for them. And only then Poland won the game vs Serbia in situation when they were in a must win while the Serbs were completely unmotivated since already qualified for the third stage. That being said, don't take above mentioned result as too important.

But in the same time IMO we should be careful with betting on Serbia cause who can guarantee they wont repeat something similar like few days ago? I mean, after one set won, Serbia would be in the semis, head coach Grbic would put his best players on the bench and then who knows what could happen here, everything would be possible.
But in the opening set I feel we'll see quality difference between these two sides.
Serbia first set winner is priced at 1.61. I'm going with Serbia -2.5 pts in the first set @2.10. 
Published: 27-09-2018, 16:13 CET Pick: Serbia -2.5 pts first set
Odds: 2.12 at Unibet


Category: International volleyball
Date: 27-09-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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