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Poland - Slovenia    (lost)

Poland have definitely won the group and will play in the EURO as group winner, while Slovenia failed to join them. Poland showed enough to win this group without big team, they used their experience and got maximum points from the showed performances. Even with combined team, they were dominant in Israel and won the match 1:2, so they're in good form.

Slovenia had several good matches, but they were not effective enough, wasting many opportunities for goals. It was the case in many matches and that's why they are still fighting to finish third and have no chance for the EURO. I rate Slovenia as stronger team than Macedonia and Israel, but slightly weaker than Poland and Austria. Slovenia is the only team that beat Poland, but they lost both matches in October against Macedonia and Austria and wasted the whole qualifications. They have no problems with injured or banned players, so they will be in Poland with the best available squad.

Poland plays at home, they're slightly stronger team, but the match has no special importance for them. Surely thet they son't want to lose, but a draw is like a win in suchsuccessful qualifications. From the other side, Slovenia may lose the third position if Macedonia beats Israel which is possible, so they will play to stay unbeaten and keep the third place. It's not the same to finish third or fourth. A think that a draw would satisfy both teams and coaches.
Published: 19-11-2019, 15:49 CET Pick: draw
Odds: 3.9 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: European football
Date: 19-11-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 6 (tipster's average: 9)




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