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Radnicki Nis - Partizan    (lost)

Serbian Super Liga, Round 10

Odds are main reason for this bet. I think this should be somewhere around 1.70, maybe 1.80.
So, these 2.13 IMO is must bet.
I know Radnicki Nis is solid side, currently tied with Partizan on the second place, both with 20 pts. I know it is not easy to win there. But honestly, from what we have had chance to see so far in the season, Radnicki is not good as last year or in some of previous years. They simply are heavily pushed by the referees this time, much more than earlier. Something that was always seen in games of Crvena zvezda and Partizan, but this time Radnicki is the side whose games usually are full of refs mistakes, of course mistakes in their favor. There were many games but I'll mention only home meeting with Napredak (3:3) when we saw two huge refs gifts to Radnicki. They definitely should lose that game although were 1.50 favorite.

But today I think we should not be worried about referees cause the best Serbian referee is in charge, Milorad Mazic, the guy who was on the World Cup, the guy who was also main referee in the Champions League finals. So, do not expect anything fishy today when refs are in question.

As for quality of the teams, of course Partizan is way better. After they fired coach Djukic early in the season, Partizan started to play way better and was in long series of victories all till last round big derby against Crvena zvezda (1:1). Everyone expected how Zvezda would easily win but in fact it was a game where Partizan heavily dominated and should be up 3:0 at half time. They have missed many chances as in first as well in the second half and at the end conceded one very questionable goal in situation where it was not clear whether the ball cross the line or not.
In any case, that game proved me Partizan is surely way better than you could tell by the reports in the Serbian media.
Both teams are coming to today's game after midweek games in the Cup competition. Partizan completely rested their best players so I don't see any problems in the term of possible tiredness.
Except some long term absences like Zoran Tosic for example, Partizan is without injury problems.

Published: 30-09-2018, 16:43 CET Pick: Partizan -0.5
Odds: 2.13 at 5Dimes


Category: Serbian football
Date: 30-09-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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