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TheStarling
 
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Rams V.S. Buccaneers    (won)

Big MNF matchup with playoff implications.  After the Bucs come off of a disastrous 2nd loss to the Saints they absolutely must win out against NFC foes to insure their position in the seedings.  Considering the Rams are their toughest NFC opponent on the schedule I expect them to be fully prepared.  However!  The Rams are far from a bad team.  While Goff is a massive liability the Rams Defense and McVey's schemes are not to be taken lightly.  

When you breakdown the numbers you find that these two teams run on similar wavelengths with the Rams slightly edging out the Bucs statistically in the majority of efficiency stats.  So why are the Bucs getting so much love from the books?  Since the lines opened the ML has risen 30 cents and the spread 1.5 points all in favor of the Bucs.  Reason being: the Rams are absolute garbage on the road where they have suffered all of their losses.  Their efficiency depreciates drastically the second they set foot on an airplane.  Not to mention they will be without their starting left guard in this game, which means Goff is going to have a very bad night in the pocket.  Additionally, the Rams have played weaker teams than the Bucs and have a worse record. (though IMO they won that game in Buffalo).  

Starling Says: The Rams are a good team.  I could even make a case and say that they are the better team.  However, on the road they are a different team.  What prevents me from picking the Bucs is simple: Bruce Arians is the dumbest coach in the NFL and always has been.  His stupidity has flown under the radar, however anyone that follows the sport meticulously knows.  Sean McVey is arrogant and brash and young, but very smart and very competitive.  I expect the Rams come within striking distance in this game.  A TD is too much, even for a bad Rams road team.
Published: 24-11-2020, 01:38 CET Pick: Rams +4.5
Odds: 1.91 at William Hill


Category: NFL football
Date: 23-11-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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