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Raonic V Fritz    (lost)

Very 'dirty' odd on Milos considering his match up. The game line is set at 25.5 which immediately indicates a tight match, with possible tie-break or two, maybe even 3. 

After his serving performance vs Norrie and setting a world record of 47 aces in 3 sets played, it's hard for me to believe his level will just drop. On the contrary, I think he got much needed boost and is playing better and better as the matches progress. 
I
 can't shake off the feeling that this will be match with very few chances to break, IF ANY. Leading into TB, it is always a gamble, however in that scenario, chances are equal, but I would also give Milos advantage because of the experience and after all, better serve (especially 2nd) than Fritz. Which makes this bet instantly a VALUE. 

Fritz can have a blast day, or a lazy day, the thing is that he isn't constant, while Milos can still pull some life saving points even when it's not going well from the field.
Just remember the match vs Agut last week. 
It will be a tight game, it will be a serve battle, Milos will not have to run a lot and literally one serve or ball can decide a set. In that scenario this @2.40 look ridiculous and I am gladly backing him.
Published: 18-06-2024, 23:28 CET Pick: Raonic
Odds: 2.43 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 19-06-2024
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)


DelRio 19-06-2024, 00:04
Update: During the 3rd set Milos had problems with his knee, so be carefull with this one. Maybe the better option is Milos to take the opener or not to bet at all.

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