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Resistencia - Guarani    (won)

Here we have wrong odds in my opinion. Resistencia (7-5-2 and 5-1-1 at home) cannot be outsiders in this match, because they are third in the standings and with only two losses so far, while Guarani (4-3-7 and 2-2-3 in away) are eighth and with only four wins from fourteen matches.

The hosts lost here only from Cerro Porteno (0:3) and scored in all six other matches. Resistencia have to earn points and keep the 3rd place to have the chance to play internationally next year. 

Guarani are playing poorly this season and conceding goals in almost every game. They have only three clean sheets from 16 games (true-all as guests), but two of them were against rather weak teams-Ameliano (10th) and Guairena (9th), who scored 17 and 13 goals so far respectively, while Resistencia 27. The third match was against America Mineiro, but then  Guarani lost the rematch and dropped out. In addition, the guests have a lot of missing players for this match.

Overall, we have Resistencia who have scored in 6 of their 7 home games so far and Guarani who have conceded a goal in 13 of their 16 games so far.

Published: 11-05-2022, 22:50 CET Pick: Resistencia over 0.5 goals
Odds: 1.54 at Pinnacle


Category: Paraguayan football
Date: 12-05-2022
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 1 (tipster's average: 1)




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