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Riske V.S. Mladenovic    (lost)

This is a seemingly tricky match to handicap, however I see a clear cut winner in this mix.  Alison Riske played a tough match against the hard hitting Kuzmova two days ago but managed to emerge victorius suffering only one break and winning %59 of the total points.  In her match before she was forced to compete hard against the world number 632, a local girl who's been on hot streak since August.  Mladenovic, who has got through an unfit and out of form Konjuh in straight sets has endured an up and down year herself.  She came through the her match winning only %57 of total points despite grabbing a bagel in the opening set and it was excellent return game that granted her win taking %57 of the total return points.  However, having watched the match I can confidently say that Konjuh is out of sorts at the moment.  

Both players are yet to win 3 matches in a row this year and for one, this will be the first time.  Mladenovic has dominated the H2H 4-1, yet 3 of her wins have come on clay where she is considerably better with slower conditions.  

Alison's year started late with and she has not been able to perform at her ranking's level.  However, I think it would be willfully ignorant to ignore her competition.  Most of her losses have come against better competition that simply out classed her.  Mladenovic however, has stayed away from tough opponents and has focused her energy on smaller tournaments, failing to cause any notable upsets (except Benic back in Rome).  

Starling Says: Both players can play at the net with a slight edge leaning towards Mladenovic.  Riske has the better back hand, and slightly better baseline game, while I give the serving edge to Riske as well.  I like Kristina to play a more controlled game, hitting less UE's and winning the long rally points.  In the end both of these players are in this spot because of their opponent's sloppy play.  That being said I have to lean against Alison's service game.  Quick points are going to be key for her as I don't believe she can contend with Mladenovic's consistency and reactive hands.  All said and done my official pick on this match is the OVER 21.5 Games as I see this as a potential 3 setter. 
Published: 17-09-2021, 12:00 CET Pick: OVER 21.5 Games
Odds: 2.04 at Pinnacle


Category: WTA tennis
Date: 17-09-2021
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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