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Roma-Sassuolo (won)

Roma will host Sassuolo in match from the third round of Serie A. Both teams started this season as they did last year, which means that we can expect a lot of goals this Sunday.

The hosts did 3:3 against Genoa in first match at home and we saw the same good and bad sides of the team as last year. Roma had the best attack at home in Serie A last season (43 goals) and now scored three goals in his first game at home from the season. In this match we should see the debut of Mkhitaryan, which will be a guarantee for even more goals. The hosts have a lot of young players, like Zaniolo, Under and Kluivert, who are capable to score at any time. Even the new team symbol Florenzi, who plays in defense (a big mistake IMO), is a threat in every game. Roma's goals in every game at home last season (including CL): 3,2,4,3,5,0,3,4,0,2,3,3,3,1,2,2,2,1,2,1,3,2,2 +3 this season. But at the same time, only four teams allowed more goals at home (26) last season than they did. Roma are terrible in defence and the things will be even more frightening for them this season IMO. Without Manolos, one of the best in this position, and with Fazio and Jesus as center pair...it's just not serious. Even though Smalling arrived, I'm not sure that he's the right person for this team. All in all I see the hosts as stronger in attack and weaker in defense than last year.

Sassuolo scored at least one goal in 13 of 19 games last season. Against strong teams (the first eight) they was 5:3 in that. The three games were against:

-Milan (0:1), where they received a red card in the 64th minute.

-Inter (0:0), where they had the better situations and more shoots in match, 16(5).

-Napoli (0:2), where they received a red card (true-at the end of the match), but had more possession of the ball (56%) and had enough opportunities for goal, 12(7) shoots.

So, Sassuolo does not bother to attack in the match against the strong teams and I just don't see how Roma will endure without allowing at least one goal in the match. Almost any team can score on this poor defense, even those who play closed, but the guests are far away from defensive football. Sassuolo started this season as a guests in a familiar way-with goal scored for them (1:2 against Torino). So nothing new and from them for now.

Last year's game here ended 3:1, so I expect something like this to happen and now.

Published: 13-09-2019, 23:39 CET Pick: Over 2.75 goals
Odds: 1.666 at Pinnacle

Category: Italian football
Date: 15-09-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 6)

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