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Rublev - Tsitsipas    (won)

ATP Hamburg



Rublev looks very hungry and will give it all to win the title he had a chance to win in the final last year. He seem to like it here and today he was a class about Ruud, he pushed caspers backhand alot with his inside-out forehand and it gave result. Andrey just need to get a higher 1 serve procentage. Andrey is looking good and he is a fierce competiter.

Tsitsipas hasn't looked good all week on his return and is mainly a serve-oriented warrior out there, who fights well and often holds serve easy, with mixed up netplay and big forehand to boss the points and it often pays of very well and results in easy holds, epecially against the lower ranked players. But here he meets a big player in Rublev, who i think is a better return player and i think he runs down more balls these days, compared to Tsitsipas.

Of course Tsitsipas is a classy player and any letup from Andrey and the final can be gone, but i believe Andrey won't let this happen tomorrow and takes his 3rd title of the year. gl.
Published: 26-09-2020, 22:03 CET Pick: Rublev
Odds: 1.91 at 10bet


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 27-09-2020
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)



TheGame 26-09-2020, 23:02
A class above*
Gladiator_28 26-09-2020, 23:03
The match is absolutely 50-50. The odds initially went to be 2.10 to 1.72 and it was better to back on Rublev. But now the odds equal and I am not sure if there is a value in a pick like this. Tsitsipas showed huge aggression and passion against Garin who outclassed him in the second set. The Greek took medical timeout and then he chased the victory even harder with stronger shots from the baseline. He was dictating the whole third set and gave no chance for the player from Chile. I think that Rublev is better on clay, he has a perfect movement but his shots are weaker compared to the shots of Tsitsipas. Also, Rublev is not that good server, while the Greek is insane when it comes to serving. One huge advantage in favour of Tsitsipas is the fact that he is very well predicting the shots of his opponents, compensating his slower movement. Still, I think the first set will be very crucial here and whoever takes it, he will win the game. I can give an tip if the game is 1-1 sets, the third set surely back on the player who won the first one.
TheGame 26-09-2020, 23:21
For sure i would have wanted a bit better odds on Rublev here, but it slashed down quickly,the market feeling maybe that this one belonged to the russian. Garin is a classy clay-courter and Tsitsipas have looked very hungry and focused this week, but i think it won`t be enough in the end against Andrey, who looks mad about winning this title and i think he looked better than Tsitsipas overall in the matches i saw. Rublev as i said need to up his first serve % tomorrow. I still see Andrey as a small favorite tomorrow. I didn`t see that Tsitsipas took a medical, but that Garin did, the chilean wasn`t able to move properly with a leg-injury of some sort in the third set. I took Kohli against Garin @Roland Garros, maybe he will retire if he isn`t 100%, who knows, if he even plays the game at all. Thanks for the in-play Gladiator!
Gladiator_28 27-09-2020, 13:38
Just as I have predicted. Now, it is time to back Rublev on the moneyline. Odds around 1.90.
Emmanuel 27-09-2020, 14:33
Congrats for this fruitful discussion! Impressive match indeed, I expected that Stefanos will loose focus after a break in 3rd but such collaspse.... In any case well done for us backers and Gladiator_28, nice to "meet" you and your comments right in the spot mate!! ;)
TheGame 27-09-2020, 14:34
Nice Guys!
Emmanuel 27-09-2020, 14:38
Keep up the good work, send you a few Credits "TheGame" !
TheGame 27-09-2020, 14:49
Thanks, you too friend, would send you some too, but i have none left=(
Gladiator_28 27-09-2020, 14:58
Nice to meet you Emmanuel. You wrote nice tip too! Congrats!

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