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Sam Querrey - Rafael Nadal    (lost)

It's risky to oppose Rafa these days, even on grass cause he really has played some very good tennis in previous rounds. But, I feel Querrey has solid chances to make this match interesting.

Nadal so far has lost only one set. But that was against opponent similar to this one today. It was vs Kyrgios, 6:3, 3:6 in the first two sets and then two TB sets in favour of Nadal. So it was very close. In general, such big servers don't suit to Rafa on fast courts. 
As mentioned, Sam Querrey belong to those big servers and as such he also knew in the past to be trouble maker for Rafa. In five mutual meetings, the American only once failed to take set. And it was on clay. In all other, Sam was tough opponent for Rafa. Yes, those were meetings long ago but even on their last meeting (2017), Querrey was very good and even has won. 
So, I expect from American to take set also today. His 2019 grass season was very good, 8-1 so far. Here on Wimbledon his serv was decent to say at least. Even 7 out of 14 sets played on the tournament so far, were TB sets. 
In general, Sam is not a player who could collapse and give up if things don't start well for him. He had in the past big success here. Say, in 2017 he defeated here in QF Andy Murray after comeback. Then in SF was stopped from at that moment amazing Marin Cilic and how differently than again in very close match where 3 of 4 sets were 7:6 or 7:5.
And for end worth to mention that we could reach this today's number of games in theory even in 3 sets, 2 Tie-break sets and one 6:3 and we are good. 
Published: 10-07-2019, 14:33 CET Pick: Over 34.5
Odds: 1.83 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: ATP tennis
Date: 10-07-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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