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San Antonio Spurs - Sacramento Kings    (lost)

USA » NBA » regular season, Orlando

Two western conference sides who are both aiming the final playoffs spot on the west. But given on the pretty much big deficit towards current 8th placed Memphis Grizzlies (and not too many games to be played till postseason), that is going to be tough task to achieve. Still, even 9th position would be satisfying if the deficit is no more than 3 wins. In that case we have a pre-playoffs round.
Following what was going on during the scrimmages, I must give advantage to the Kings. And honestly I don't even think the Spurs are the threat for that 9th position. The Kings need to think much more about some other teams, like Portland for example.

I know this bet is not in the line with my betting philosophy but will make exception this time. Namely, already for last two years I was talking how the Kings are great choice in underdog role (one of few best in the league in ATS in such role), but when they need to cover as favourites, then it's very different story. But as said, I am ready to trust them this time against Spurs even as being priced -3.5 favourite. 
Simply, I know how much they are determined to be in postseason (last time came just short) and how much they are motivated. All this I am not sure I can say about the Spurs who looked pretty bad in the scrimmages no matter they have won the last game against Indiana Pacers. The Spurs were mixing a lot and like Greg Popovic was trying to find the best options. As mentioned in the preview for game vs Brooklyn Nets, the turnovers were big problem. I expected they would improve that against the Nets but it was just the opposite. So although against Pacers there was only 12 of those, average during scrimmages was huge 19 TO per game and that's simply too much. 
Also, Spurs roster is pretty much weakened by absence of
LaMarcus Aldridge and Trey Lyles. They are not the only ones but let's mentioned only them cause those missing are huge for Spurs offensive part of the team. 

Sacramento also went 1-2 during the scrimmages but IMO  showed way more and in more difficult schedule. Ok, Spurs played the Bucks too but have been demolished while Kings although were losing big from Milwaukee Bucks, at the end did what they were doing all the time in last two years, they covered the number. Also in final game against Clippers, Sacramento made nice late run and after losing a lot, not just managed to cover but even defeated the Clippers. Yes those scrimmages were far from serious basketball but no matter, Kings were able for entire season to cope with some of the league best. 
They have couple absent players too. Worth to mention 
Marvin Bagley III, but I like this team a lot in any case. Too much talent here and with some better coach than Luke Walton, I think they would be regular participant of postseason. That being said, huge mismatch on the bench between Greg Popovic and Luke Walton but IMO these days Popovic doesn't have much 'material' to work with. 
Published: 31-07-2020, 14:47 CET Pick: Sacramento -3.5
Odds: 1.91 at 188bet


Category: NBA basketball
Date: 01-08-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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