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Sandefjord - Hamkam    (lost)

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Two teams that are neighbours in the table, but I consider Sandefjord to be the better side. HamKam have been significantly overperforming so far and sit well below their position in the xG table compared to the actual league table.
Sandefjord have performed slightly worse than last year, but last season they had a very strong home record, winning 11 of 15 home matches. That is impressive. They are also now likely to have the important Dunsby back, which will strengthen the team considerably. HamKam only won 3 of 15 away matches last year, and they still have not won away from home this season. They have also failed to beat fairly average teams such as Aalesund, Kristiansund, Fredrikstad, and Molde. The home advantage is significant here. When around 50% of matches in the Eliteserien end in a home win, I rate the better team at roughly a 55% chance of winning this fixture. That corresponds to value down to at least  1.80 in odds and probably lower also. 
Published: 21-06-2026, 13:17 CET Pick: Sandefjord to win
Odds: 1.85 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: Norwegian football
Date: 12-07-2026
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 4 (tipster's average: 5)



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