Saprissa and Antigua played a 0-0 draw in Guatemala the other week, and tonight is the second leg, in San José, Costa Rica.
The hosts, Saprissa have a good result to deal with. The 0-0 draw in Guatemala was underwhelming because Saprissa missed two penalties. This tie should be over already, and Antigua arrives with some hope of stealing this fixture. The away goal rule still applies here, so Saprissa must be mindful about this. In case of a draw, Antigua will progress (except 0-0).
Luckily for Saprissa, they are very tough to beat at home, with 17 straight without a loss. Antigua on the other hand are often tricky in Guatemala, but away from home they are less than average with 0-3-3 in the last away game, conceding 13 goals in those. An average of over 2 pg. It will not be easier here.
The conditions will be wet and rainy, and the stadium will be full as they have lowered the prices in order to fill it. Expect a big home factor for Saprissa in what is usually an intimidating atmosphere (I have been here myself as a spectator)
Conclusion: As said in the beginning, Antigua should not be in this tie after the first leg. Saprissa should aim for an early goal here to get Antigua out of their defensive block. Once that happens, it could run away quickly. I thought about 1/1 HT/FT but eventually settle for Saprissa -1 AH to decent price.
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