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FinnishFlash
 
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Sasnovich vs Elise Mertens    (won)

WTA Palermo

Okey few things which got my intrest here. First of all, I dont have to tell you how important it is for Sasnovich that she came thru qualies here (3 matches), in these 30+C conditions, and is better prepared. Also the surface factor when you get to play on it so much already, especially on clay. She is not MAYBE that comfortable on clay than on hard, and I did not see her match today, but I think our friend FollowME can share something about that :)

Well, Mertens has been like "top dog" -or I dont like to call girls as doggies, but for some while already in WTA Tour. I did not find info from her playing Ex-games now during break, so basically this is first match for her too in over 5 months(!!). Elise is not good clay courter, or that is my impression from her. Last season she had very bad 4/6 record on clay, AND very interesting fact that she was prized in five of those losses on clay between 1.25-1.60 and lost them all. So she is really not good to bet as a FAV on clay.

For me its more important things what I just wrote, BUT just to mention Sasnovich leads 2-1 h2h and all of those matches have been on hard! So maybe it is also good matchup for her on clay, too.




Published: 04-08-2020, 01:00 CET Pick: Sasnovich (+1.5 sets)
Odds: 1.72 at SBOBET


Category: WTA tennis
Date: 04-08-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 7 (tipster's average: 7)



FinnishFlash 04-08-2020, 01:02
Currently ML 2.81 is really good too, very interesting to see does odds swift on that till tomorrow.. This is better for higher stakes imo.
FollowME 04-08-2020, 01:11
There were no streams for qualifiers but Sasnovich didn`t stress my bet at all. She looked to be the more stable player. Mertens wil be rusty and there is no need to take the favorites and boost them with handicaps thus I think you are making the right call mate ;)
FinnishFlash 04-08-2020, 01:17
Thanks!! But you know, I still hate WTA cause my stress "levels" go waay too high :D But soon we have ATP, if those idiots can get some tournament running. Love for the Pro tennis just makes me bet after so long break....
FollowME 04-08-2020, 01:18
WTA after the break is worse than NHL after the break :D so I really bet when I am confident on tennis right now
FinnishFlash 04-08-2020, 17:00
Yess, enjoyable once in WTA!! ML now pending (1.40 live at the moment), I hope u guys enjoy my tips also in WTA :)
TheGame 04-08-2020, 17:02
Nice one brother, credits sent.
FinnishFlash 04-08-2020, 17:10
Gamer, man keep ya head up, u are also good in tennis with knowledge I have seen that.. Actually I can admit you know more from WTA players than me :)) I just study lot what I bet and sometimes smell value or something. But like I said u are solid with knowledge with these girls you follow.
TheGame 04-08-2020, 17:13
Thanks man! kind words=) Hope for more success for you in WTA! Cheers!
FollowME 04-08-2020, 17:33
As we spoke earlier, that was the right bet. Well done Flashy ;) some credits for u mate
FinnishFlash 04-08-2020, 17:33
Ty both! Nice to get support from comments..
iniestaone 04-08-2020, 18:40
Great pick, wishing so hard I went for the ML instead of +1,5 considering how she outplayed Mertens

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