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Seattle - Toronto    (lost)

Time for one of my favourite pitchers, or at least the guy that made me the most units ( probably ) this season.

LHP Gonzales does not owe only a 12-7 record with a 3.37 to go with, he has also good stuff to back it up with>7.95 K/9, 1.79 BB/9, 0.86 HR/9, 45.9GB%. At home a 2.88 ERA, 8.95K/9 and an incredible 0.30 HR/9< that is right, he allowed just 2 homeruns at home in 59 (!) innings at work.

In the last 30 days Gonzales is 4-0 with a 1.78 ERA.

Mariners are 6-0 in Gonzales' last 6 home starts.

Mariners are 8-0 in Gonzales' last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.

Blue Jays are 18th in advanced hitting stats against LHP.

Blue Jays are 5-16 in their last 21 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

For Toronto Ryan Borucki on the mound, also a lefty. 2.83 ERA but has been very lucky with some flyballs and with the contact opponents made off him, his ERA should be higher for sure> 7.20 K/9, 2.83 BB/9. On the road he has been shakey though with a 4.80 ERA and a wild 5.40 BB/9.

Mariners are hitting a very solid .319 wOBA against Southpaws.

Jays bullpen ranked 27th while Seattle's bullpen ranked 8th.

Mariners are 4-6 in their last 10 and lost the series at home against their division Rivals. So important game for them here against the Blue Jays and with Gonzales on the mound they might bounce back.

Published: 04-08-2018, 01:06 CET Pick: Seattle -1
Odds: 1.79 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 04-08-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 9)



Four-Seam 04-08-2018, 01:07
instead of the Washington game that got postponed

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