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Sels - F. Cerundolo    (lost)

Challenger Lima

These last weeks of South American Challengers are gonna be tough, I don't know if I will be operational or just trying some value upsets like this. Cerundolo just won his second Challenger title, both achieved this season and even after a short time from each other. This youngster is a clay-court specialist and could reach the top 100 next year, although he is only competitive on clay for the moment. Why am I opposing him? First of all when he won his first title in Split in early October, then had a poor loss to Giustino in the next tournament two days later. Francisco had worked hard during that winning run and I see some similarities with the week he has just spent in Guayaquil, the same thing/loss could happen here. Cerundolo also said he didn't expect to go for the title, playing without much pressure and here maybe he could feel satisfied and not give his best, including possible fatigue. Although his ranking says otherwise, for me Sels is Challenger material for his level of play and I actually like his chances at these big odds. I think I've never seen him this season, but I remember Jelle last summer when playing in Sibiu and in a couple of Italian Challengers, he was quite competitive even against top regulars like Pedro Sousa, Travaglia and Martinez.
Published: 24-11-2020, 05:22 CET Pick: Sels
Odds: 4.03 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 24-11-2020
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 7 (tipster's average: 9)




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