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Serbia U21 - Estonia U21    (won)

Euro U21 » qualifications, Group 5


Tough situation for Serbia in this group of six teams after four rounds played. They have already lost two games so now this is real 'a must win'. Estonia is probably the weakest team of this group no matter of the fact they have won at home vs Lithuania. In all other matches Estonian team has been literally destroyed. They have lost away at Poland 4:0 while in two home games suffered also big losses, 0:4 vs Bulgaria and 0:5 vs Russia. In each of the three mentioned defeats it was visible big second half decline (looking on the results). So, I'm getting impression this team beside lower quality is also without too good physical fitness.
Serbia as mentioned has lost twice but that was on the road from top teams of this group (Russia as well Poland, both times in close games and with 1:0 narrow results. They have been 3 of the 4 rounds on the road, the third visit was to Bulgaria which they have won with 1:0 score. With fact that against all those strong opponents Serbia is yet to play at home, obviously nothing is over yet in this group and Serbia has realistic chance to qualify. But first they need to put away this weak opponent today. The drop of points is not allowed here.
Serbia has changed the head coach after first two rounds and brought Ilija Stolica instead of Milovanovic. Improvement was visible right away in the next two games no matter of the loss in Poland.
Serbia always had great players in youth selections and almost always with good results. There is nice generation of players also this time around. I believe in success today.

The odds are of course very low so we need to find some alternative option. Due to mentioned big decline of Estonia late in the games, I have opted for this 2nd half handicap.
Also -2.5 FT probably is not bad idea but I'm afraid of possible fishy first half result (0:0 or even 0:1 like it was vs Lithuania).
Published: 15-11-2019, 15:31 CET Pick: Serbia -1.5 (2nd half)
Odds: 2.1 at 10bet


Category: European football
Date: 15-11-2019
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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