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Serbia - Japan    (lost)

World Cup, QF
Serbia against Japan. I think Serbian win is sure but also covering handicap should not be problem for best Water polo team.
Though, have in mind the head coach Dejan Savic brought here this time weaker squad, so for the first time in years Serbia is not top favorite on the big competition. This time it's Croatia. But when those two best sides met here in the group stage, Serbia took point in a 10:10 draw although Croatia was 1.30 favorite. In other two games of the group stage, Serbia outclassed South Africa with 21:3 (-14.5 was handicap) and also defeated USA 14:8 (-2.5 was handicap). So, 3-0 Against the spread for Serbia in the group stage.
Now for place in the SF, the opponent is Japan. This is not so low level like South Africa but still the Serbs should take the job done pretty comfortably.
Japan in their group lost all three games. Australia defeated them with 8, Germany and Hungary both with 5 goals difference. Hungary was the best side there in other group but obviously that wasn't the best game for Hungarians. It was more like nice shooting training for them, really un typical result at the end, 19:14. Note Hungary already in the first Quarter scored 8 goals and was already then up these 5 goals. So, everything later was routinely finished task and not too big effort from Hungary. I believe Serbia will play much more serious, after all, this is now the elimination game.
On the Olympics in Rio in 2016, Japan was able to play good game against Serbia in the group stage and didn't lose too convincing, 12:8. But no matter, that's the reason more to Serbia takes them seriously. Other than that mutual meeting, Serbia usually was winning convincingly against Japan.
Probably first half handicap is better option but hardly you can find it somewhere (I see it only in local bookies) but also fulltime should be covered. 
Published: 14-09-2018, 16:59 CET Pick: Serbia -6.5
Odds: 1.83 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: International waterpolo
Date: 14-09-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



FairPlayBet 14-09-2018, 17:04
Forgot to mention, the tournament is in Germany.

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