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| PICKS | STAKES | PROFIT |
| 110 | 1065 | -113.8 |
| YIELD | AVG ✓ ODDS | AVG ✗ ODDS |
| -11% | 1.95 | 1.99 |
| Full stats / Picks archive | ||
The first leg finished 2-2, so nobody arrives at Tourbillon with an advantage to protect. Even discounting part of that match because both teams had a player sent off, we had already seen three goals inside the first 20 minutes, and the game ended with 22 combined shots, 12 for Sion and 10 for Noah.
The key point is that the attacking pattern does not depend solely on that 2-2. Sion come from a 3-2 win over Vaduz, 3-0 against Luzern, 4-0 against BATE and 4-2 against Young Boys. Noah, meanwhile, arrive after a 4-3 away match against Shirak, the 2-2 with Sion, a 3-0 win over Syunik and a 2-1 victory over Zimbru.
In the 3-2 win over Vaduz four days ago, Sion finished with approximately 2.77 xG, 19 shots, seven big chances and 44 actions inside the opposition box. The issue, and for this market that actually helps, is that they also allowed Vaduz around 1.67 xG and conceded twice. In other words, these are not just artificially high-scoring results: there is real attacking volume, combined with some vulnerability when the opponent manages to break out.
| GAMEPICK | TIPSTER |
|---|---|
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