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Slavia Prague-Sevilla    (won)

Slavia welcome Sevilla in 2nd leg on 1/8 finals from Europa League. The first match ended 2:2 and for me, in short, in this match the hosts played well but the guests "took well". Many people, and the bookie too, see Sevilla like favorite tonight and that's is my opinion too. But I can't ignored the results of Slavia until now, so my choice here will be for "over". 
The hosts have only one loss in the 1. Liga on Czech Republic when they play at home (11-0-1, 36:8). OK, if the local league is not very representative, in the Europa the results are also very good-without loss at home in 5 games, one of them in CL qualification, where they beat Bordeaux (1:0) and Zenit (2:0). In the other three matches Slavia make draws-against Dinamo Kyiv (0:0), Copenhagen (0:0) and Genk (0:0), so in these five Euro matches the host allowed exactly 0 goals! 
Sevilla, on the other hand, do not perform very well when they play like a guests, neither in La Liga (3-4-7, 19:22), neither in Europa League (2-0-2, 5:5). They beat Akhisarspor, which are on the bottom in Turkey Super Lig, with 3:2 and Lazio on 1/16 finals with 1:0, but the "bianco blu" are far away from their performance from the last year. Yes, they beat Ujpest (1:3) and Zalgiris (0:4) in the qualification for EL, but this two team are very weak. But all in all Sevilla allowed at least one goal in 4/6 matches in Europa League and 13/14 !!! in La Liga, 
So, if they want to go on 1/4 finals, they must to score at least two goals for me. Slavia is capable to score at least one goal here, so I go to "over" in this match. 

Published: 14-03-2019, 16:20 CET Pick: Over 2.75
Odds: 1.84 at Pinnacle


Category: European football
Date: 14-03-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 6 (tipster's average: 6)




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