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Smolevichi 2 - FK Gorodeja 2    (won)

       2nd pick comes from Belarus Reserve league level where I either had some over bets won easily or had big failures, some of those failures involved Gorodeja as for example in their last 2 games they lost just 1-0 at Slavia Mozyr 2 conceding early and having a man sent-off in the 30 minute of the game but did not concede any more, while last round they also played a cagey game at home with Neman 2 and had once more a man sent-off but only lost because a late goal just 1-0 as well.
         Still they do tend to concede goals more easily away from home, for example they have lost 4-1 at Vitebsk 2, lost 3-1 away at Energetik 2 game in which they were 3-0 down before scoring from the penalty spot, lost 4-0 away at Belshina 2, 2-0 loss at Rukh Brest 2 but were really lucky not to concede more goals. 9-4 loss at Zhodino 2 game in which they found themselves down 7-0 by half-time of the game and my big over bet was covered really quick at nice odds as well.
         This while Smolevichi 2 is a pleasent surprise, they are 6-0-4 this season, had problems away at Belshina 2 losing 6-2, at home with Dinamo Minsk 2 losing 3-0 and also at home with Soligorsk 2 losing 4-0 while last round they lost 2-0 away at Zhodino 2, but have wins this season away at Rukh Brest 2 with 1-0, away at 2nd placed Isloch Minsk 2 with 3-2, away at Brest 2 2-1, at home with Vitebsk 2 4-0, at home with BATE 2 2-0 and at Energetik 2 they won 2-1, and overall are better rated than Gorodeja 2, likely to score 3+ against such a weak defense here, and I see either a 4th goal from them or Gorodeja 2 to score as they have found the back of the net on a couple of occasions in away games this season.
Published: 04-06-2020, 05:28 CET Pick: Over 3.5 goals
Odds: 2.13 at Pinnacle


Category: Belarusian football
Date: 04-06-2020
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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