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Sousa - Hurkacz    (won)

https://www.oddsportal.com/tennis/germany/atp-halle/sousa-joao-hurkacz-hubert-COcyKRft/

Surely not the most popular bet as Sousa isn't the best grass court player, but I have a few reasons to take it. I do believe experience is very important on grass and Sousa showed this twice in qualifiers where he beat two young guns who will be very good in the future (Sinner, Kecmanović). Hurkacz has very little experience on grass as well. He played 5 matches last year (2-3) and a few matches in juniors circuit where he wasn't really successful with two R1 losses in Wimbledon. On paper of course Hurkacz has good game for grass with big serve and pretty flat and strong shots from the baseline. But another thing is very important on grass and this is movement. Moving on grass is totally different than on other courts and some players need more time to "learn" how to move on this surface. On the other side Sousa has match practice on grass and he lost his serve only once in two matches (yesterday vs Kecmanovic he didn't offer a single break point). His record in Halle isn't great but he was the only one that took a set from Federer in the 2014 tournament so he can be dangerous. All in all I think that odds didn't go the right direction here and I would put Sousa to 2,10-2,15 range so I see some value here.
Published: 17-06-2019, 09:56 CET Pick: Sousa
Odds: 2.43 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 17-06-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 3 (tipster's average: 4)



Betlady2018 17-06-2019, 15:40
Looks tight, a good bet I guess!
GoSoeda 17-06-2019, 17:39
Yeah a tight first set, but Sousa too solid at the end.
Nabuchodonosor 17-06-2019, 17:43
No more credits this month but my congrats ! nice pick !

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