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Southampton-Aston Villa    (lost)

This is a relegation battle but the Saints do have a go at anyone this days, they did that at Liverpool in first half, they did that at Spurs in FA Cup so for sure they will pressure Villa here and will look for 3 points because they arent safe yet but they have played good lately and defending is still a problem for them and playing at home hasnt really been an advantage for them as like i said their game is limited, based on high intensity pressing and when it comes to unlocking bunkers they are bit clueless and Villa will prolly sit deep as they are leaking goals all over even when playing 3 at the back and now with Mings back they should do that, but they dont really look solid even with Mings and for me they are one of the possible teams to go down, as they look poor as a unit but of course they do have talent up-front Grealish is having a tremendous season, El-Ghazi aint bad at all but overall both leak goals constantly and Saints also have Ings in great form although Redmond and Boufal will be missing and that limits their midfield but still there are Djenepo or Armostrong capable of creating so i can see both teams capable of scoring 2 here. Saints arent to be trusted in such conditions as Burnley game proved it, but they do play with more intensity and have the better coach here, still 1.6ish looks untouchable for me, they dont really deserve to be such favourite with that leaky D, especially since Villa deserved much better against Spurs last round, but yet again defending was atrocious, Engels was abysmal so minimal 3 goals is a must here, i dont see this one as a huge pressure game, although it is a posibility and pressure can bring negativity as both need poinst badly.
Published: 21-02-2020, 17:10 CET Pick: over 3
Odds: 2 at SBOBET


Category: English football
Date: 22-02-2020
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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