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St. Patricks - Finn Harps    (lost)

     I am not taking this over bet mainly because of St. Patricks, but I do expect a lot of goals scored by them as the defense of Finn Harps is really weak at this moment and St. Patricks are a decent middle of the league table club which can on a good day even defeat the top teams like Dundalk, just that this time stats are against me with St. Patricks playing 9 of their last 10 games with under 2.5 goals scored in them.
      Now for the real reason behind my bet, the guests, newly promoted this season FInn Harps did not have the worst start to this season, in fact while playing here at the start of this season they drew 0-0, but since than their confidence has gone down the hill, latest games saw them conceding goals starting from 3+ both at home but also away from home, they sometimes can score like in their last league game away from home when they lost 5-3 away at Bohemians, so 8 goals scored there, sometimes they simply concede, lost to title contenders Dundalk 3-0 at home, Derry City 4-0 away from home, Shamrock Rovers 3-0 at home in their last 4 league games alone, and they are indeed one of the main relegation candidates alongside UC Dublin for this season.
      So I am confident the hosts can find the back of the net at least 3 times here, they improved recently beating in their latest game against Finn Harps away from home with 2-0 in the end, so why not score 3+ now at home against same opponent, while the guests may or not score in this one odds are good to be taking the risk for the over 3.5 goals to happen here and going down I might add as well.
Published: 14-06-2019, 07:34 CET Pick: Over 3.5 goals
Odds: 3.5 at Unibet


Category: Irish football
Date: 14-06-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 9)




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