Stephens has the potential to challenge Sabalenka. She has the ability to handle power and exhibits a strong court presence during rallies. In the first round, Stephens defeated the powerful hitter Pliskova, and in the previous round, she overcame the challenge of the strong baseliner Putintseva. Considering the night conditions, I can see a scenario where Stephens defeats Sabalenka, as these conditions might be more favorable for the American player.
It's worth noting that Sabalenka can become easily frustrated when her game is not working. The slower conditions during the evening session, coupled with Stephens' strong court presence, could be the perfect combination to unsettle Sabalenka. In their head-to-head encounters, all three matches have gone to three sets, indicating that this should be another challenging contest.
Stephens has been displaying good form on clay and shouldn't be underestimated as such a significant underdog. I am leaning to support the American player and believe she will secure at least one set in this match.
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