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| PICKS | STAKES | PROFIT |
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| YIELD | AVG ✓ ODDS | AVG ✗ ODDS |
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Sweden’s World Cup qualifiers have been disappointing, with 1 draw and 2 losses, nearly eliminating their direct qualification hopes. However, their UEFA Nations League spot secures a playoff chance, reducing pressure for points. Coach Tomasson faces scrutiny, and tactical experiments have yielded little. Sweden’s attack, led by Zirkzee and Isak, lacks midfield support, and their defense is vulnerable.
Kosovo, aiming for second place, fights hard despite a depleted midfield and defense. Their system counters Sweden effectively. Sweden relies on high pressing and quick transitions, but struggles in positional play against a compact defense, leaving them open to counterattacks. In their last meeting, Kosovo won with just 30% possession. With a similar low threshold this time, Kosovo remains a strong pick.
Pick Kosovo +1.5
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