I was hesitating backing another bet on Spain because i've had too many winning bets with them, so my mind tells me im due for a loss. Fuck my mind, i say. Spain scored in all group games and most likely they will tonight. Sweden also scored in all but one game, the reverse fixture played in Spain. Its clear Spain are playing best football in this group and their passing game is just too much, the way they move the ball in midfield is so artistic and most of teams just dont even bother making pressing, they just sit quite and absorb the pressure and inevitable Spain scores because they got quality, Sweden so far looks in downtrend compared with last years, they were quite happy to draw with Norway and they didnt particulary look interested to win that game or they just couldnt, but when they were down they had a good reaction and managed to put pressure and scored so they were prolly happy with draw as they will be tonight since Spain needs just a point to qualify automatically to Euro and they will get it even if defense is still looking shaky, and now even Ramos is out which is like their heart of D, plus dont get why Moreno is using Kepa instead of De Gea, De Gea is far more experienced and reliable and we saw what Kepa did with Norway, absolutely gifted a pen to Norway. So plenty of defensive worries for Moreno, while Sweden can create and score and this is not like a must win game for them, a draw will suit them just fine, since the next game with Romania will prolly decide who's gonna join Spain from this group. Sweden still has a bunch of experienced guys, to me they are more experienced than Spain which is in like rebuilding phase with fresh talent like Ruiz or Ceballos into the starting 11 and a young coach on bench so plenty of advantages for Sweden to work here and as Norway did they should play smart and passive but once they will go down they should try and score and they will have their chances like Norway did.
Published: 15-10-2019, 13:43 CET
Pick: Both teams to score
Odds: 1.88 at Unibet
Category: European football
Option: Both To Score
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)