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Tallinna Kalev - Parnu    (won)

This is the game from Estonian basketball league and I think that we have wrong underdog here. 

We have 5th and 6th placed teams who will clash today for the last spot out of the relegation zone (Estonian league has 8 teams, 7th and 8th are relegation zone).

Both teams will be motivated for this game for sure, because seventh team in the league is trailing by only 2 points behind Tallinna. On the other side Parnu is 1 point above Tallina, but they have one game more than Tallinna. So, despite those are the last games, I don't believe there will be any speculation, this is why it is better to focus on the facts and the numbers. 

Parnu is one point above Tallinna, but one game more. But they are also much better team overall. They have +16 point difference this season, while on the other side lose games by more than 6 points in average. Tallinna also lost last 4 games and especially the last one was not good for them, because they lost at home against TTU, 8th placed team. 

Today they will face much better team than TTU and I think that everything above 2.00 on Parnu is a good bet. 

Play Parnu moneyline
Published: 06-04-2018, 11:21 CET Pick: Parnu
Odds: 2.05 at Betway


Category: Estonian basketball
Date: 06-04-2018
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 9)



disillusion 06-04-2018, 15:17
Very even game in my eyes and odds are correct. There is no relegation in Estonian basketball. Both teams are guaranteed to get to the playoffs but for sure both want to avoid 6th spot as they would much rather play Valga than Rapla in the playoffs. TTU is also 7th not the 8th team in the league and on paper they are not much weaker than Parnu. I think they are playing with no pressure at the moment as they cant make it to the playoffs anymore. I think that loss to TTU will actually wake Kalev up but as said this looks like a coin toss so no value at Parnu imo. Kalev has had some injury worries in the backline but both Tamm and Paiste should be back so that concern is gone. I think there is a lot at stake here so Unders might be a good option but nothing outstanding.

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