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Texas - Houston    (won)

Ah finally Astros on the road again where i love them the most. We were on them last night and they fought till the end and outscored the red hot M's.

However, on the road they play a bit better. Astros are 19-14 at home and 19-11 on the road. At home they are ranked 18th. They score 4.15 RPG at home. On the road they scored more than any other team, 172 runs. That is 5.73 RPG. More important though, they are ranked 3rd in hitting data away from home.

Gerrit Cole starting for the Stro's. Coming off a rocky outing but this was against an Elite offense, he faced Boston indeed. Also, he was not so bad, allowed 3 runs while his stuff was there: 7 SO's and no batters walked. His numbers over the season are monsterous: 12.78K/9, 2.20 ERA, 0.83 WHIP. His first outing of the year was here in Texas and he was tremendous: one run allowed and 11 (!) SO's. He is 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in three career starts against the Rangers.

On the other side the Rangers. Coming from two home wins against the A's. They are 27-37 and need a miracle to make it to the play-offs. They start with Hamels on the mound. Overpaid since years if you ask me. Has his SO stuff still: 9.25K/9, but his 3.63 ERA should be higher. That 1.88 HR/9 is a problem and should be higher. At home he has been all over the place: 3.68 BB/9, 2.45HR/9. He faced the Astros 3 times this year. First time out at home he allowed 3 runs, but could and should have been more runs. The second time In Houston, allowed two runs but had also not great stuff. The 3rd time in Houston he allowed no runs but was nothing but lucky not to get destroyed. Yes in baseball we have a thin line between being destroyed or getting away with it by not allowing even a run. That 3.95 career ERA of Hamels against the Stro's should be higher indeed.

Astros are ranked 9th against RHP. Against LHP however they are 3rd.

Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Rangers are 1-7 in Hamels' last 8 home starts.

Astros are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Texas.

Going for Houston here to keep in track with the red hot M's/










Published: 07-06-2018, 16:23 CET Pick: Houston -1
Odds: 1.74 at SBOBET


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 08-06-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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