Thiem D. - Verdasco F.
I am going for the surprise here. Thiem is having a fantastic season, winning Indian Wells & Barcelona ATP. Last week, he's reached the semis, losing to Novak on Saturday. I think he might start feeling the fatigue, because of the amount of matches he's played recently. Last week in Barcelona, he's played a total of 9 games on singles & doubles !! He reached the semi-final on singles & played in the final on doubles. That's just insane....I don't know why he didn't take a break and skip this tournament, cause last year he's lost to Fognini in Round 1 and doesn't have much points to defend anyway. He last played on Sunday afternoon, meaning that he only had 2 days (Monday & Tuesday) to rest, travel to Rome and prepare for his match on Wednesday. Verdasco is not in his prime anymore, often he looks tires on court and his movement is not as good as it should be. Anyway, on his day he can trouble and beat anyone inside top 20 in my opinion. In Barcelona, he won against F.Lopez and lost in 3 sets, in tight margins to Dimitrov. Then in Madrid, he's won vs Khachanov & Albot before losing to Tsitsipas. Fernando already had 1 match here, where he won against Kyle Edmund in 3 sets. The h2h is very interesting as well - 3:0 for Fernando against Thiem. The last one was in Rio on clay in 2018, and was won 6-4 6-0. I might be wrong, but I definitely fancy the Spaniard here. Pick: Verdasco F. Win
Published: 14-05-2019, 11:39 CET
Pick: Verdasco F. Win
Odds: 5 at bwin
Category: ATP tennis
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 6 (tipster's average: 10)
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