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Thiem - De Minaur    (lost)

ATP Madrid

I'm looking at the ML odds and I feel like bookies are overestimating Thiem's comeback win after a two-month break, during which he wasn't all right both physically and mentally. Domi said his goal is to be in top form for Roland Garros and just needs to play matches from now on, I'm not saying he is going to look for it but having some challenging battles can help him and this matchup could represent that on paper. His debut vs Giron was okay and even very easy, but who can think that playing Marcos could have been a test for him especially on clay? Plus Giron was carrying huge fatigue from super long matches in qualies and R1, he was just hopeless. Altitude conditions are good for Thiem but also for De Minaur, who looks to me a little more comfortable on clay than in the past, but you know according to bookies all Aussies are rated as poor on that surface. I'm curious to see Thiem playing a guy who is chasing down every ball and of course a quality one, I mean Domi is able to overpower Alex especially in his favourite conditions, but he is lacking match rhythm/form to deliver too solid a display and win in straights against a tough fighter like Demon. Good odds IMO.
Published: 06-05-2021, 00:10 CET Pick: De Minaur +1.5 Sets
Odds: 2.23 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 06-05-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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