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Thiem vs Sinner    (lost)

bett1 Aces ( Berlin, grass)

Oh man it was so nice to see grass tennis today, although it was women's match, BUT tomorrow Im gonna enjoy from this :) I think I spotted some very interesting match up here, with a GREAT VALUE.

Sinner faced today earlier the Legend Tommy Haas himself, and you who think it was a "joke" or easy, its not like that all. Tommy is former #2 in world, and surely still plays these days lot of tennis and practises. Also his grass court game has like always been his best, and very classic player and strong server. Did not see it, but I saw that Sinner maybe should have won it in straight sets, as he was break up in 2nd. Anyways win is a win, and that was Sinner 1st match after the pandemic break in surface, which is not his strongest. Last season this teenage superstar already beat couple solid, should I say like top-100 grass court players as Lacko and Fabbiano @Hertogenbosch in his first matches as a Pro on grass. The talk has been there long time, that ppl see possibility for Sinner to be World number one some day, but time will tell.

This is really "delicious" that its against Domi the #3 in World. BUT this is his 3rd surface inside small period of time, and THE worst by far. I really dont know what to think from Dom on grass, but Im sure when he is not playing good, he is not even like top-50 level on this surface which we can see from results. Past two season's when he has been top of the top players in World, he lost for example to guy like Sugita 6-2, 7-5 and market prized Sugita ~4 odds there. Than same season in Wimby he lost to old and "fat" Baggy 3-0, or retired in 3rd set when 2-0 down. Baggy was 6+ odds. Last season he lost to Sam Querrey in Wimby and once again as fav.

Thiem played long week in his home country at his "own" named tournament on clay, having some great battles and physical matches which I saw. Im not even picking + handicaps, cause Domi can lose this easily! YOu find ´+1.5 sets around 1.70+ in some books. Surely a value.
Published: 13-07-2020, 23:59 CET Pick: Sinner
Odds: 3.26 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 14-07-2020
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 6 (tipster's average: 8)



FinnishFlash 14-07-2020, 00:00
HAHA, Oh boy... When I started writing I was going to pick @2.69 in Pinny, and after that I check odds and got little better value. Suits me :)
FinnishFlash 14-07-2020, 00:02
If someone is betting Domi in asians w that 1.36, than I have no words really..:D
FinnishFlash 14-07-2020, 00:04
K now 1.30 for Dom after I posted.. I hope tomorrow its 1.10 :D
FinnishFlash 14-07-2020, 00:18
And all those matches and losses on grass for Thiem are in similar situation, when he has changed after long clay season to first time on grass.. This is same kinda situation, although these are Ex.games but still so serious. I honestly think 2.50 to 3 is already a really good value. Market can say what want. Loss or win, prize is nuts atm...
FinnishFlash 14-07-2020, 10:08
LOL I post first and got the worst value... Wattaa fuuk is wrong with the tennis betting world (?)
Finnishflash 14-07-2020, 16:25
Man thiem is so "soft" on grass with his backhand. Like they took one of his biggest weapons away.. Im 100% sure he could never be anything special on grass, because he would have to change his whole game. But Sinner is not impressing me from beginning today.

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