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Toronto Raptors-Golden State Warriors    (won)

I reckon this is a bit of a gamble. First game are usually strange especially after such a long break, Warriors had like 9 days off, so obviously there is not much info on how sharp they will be, sometimes they can really struggle and be sluggish after such a long break. Plus both showed they can play defense as both have tremendous defensive players. Toronto completely shot down Giannis and locked the Bucks one on one to play their first ever NBA final. Warriors also had done a very good job in locking Lillard or Harden in previous battles, so from this point of view its a gamble. But Warriors will still have Durant out, possible return in game 2, while Iguodala and Cousins should be ready, tough dont know how much they gonna play, would love not to see much of Boogie as he was not so useful in his Warriors shirt, more like an offensive liability, guys like Bell or Looney are way more efficient, plus Iguodala is a great defender.
I was leaning Toronto before seeing the odds, but i didnt expect them to be favourite, if we remember Portland was in similar spot in game-3 and it ended very bad for Blazers backers. Of course, this is game one, kind of different situation, which Toronto can take advantage with lack of rhythm for Warriors and their injuries which affects rotation, so i still think Toronto has a chance here but i already have them at winning the whole thing at big odds, when they were 2-2 with Bucks, so no point in taking them again, of course i dont expect them to win it all, as i believe they have slim chances, as soon as Durant comes back and as long as the series progress Warriors will lock them up, so i will roll the dice with points. Warriors is overish prone without Durant, they rely much more on their quickness and Curry and Thomson can look unstoppable, of course now this is different challenge, Toronto is a way more serious team defensivelly than the Blazers, but still i have my doubts about them being able to stop the Splash brothers. Plus the second unit of Warriors is overish prone, not so much defense (defesive liabilities in Livingston or Jerebko) and decent offense and thats where Toronto should score, guys like VanVleet or Powell looked very rejuvenated late in the Bucks series and should continue here. Kawhi should continue his impressive form, tough i believe Warriors will do a much better job on him than Bucks did, as they already handled Lillard and Harden very well, but Kawhi knoes how to dish the ball very well, he can be more versatile, compared with Lillard for example which is not a great playmaker, so im expecting a rather slow start but teams should pick it up and both have great offensive potential, Raptors are at their best when running in transition, just like Warriors loves to do, so it can turn into a fast game in the blink of an eye. 
Published: 30-05-2019, 11:03 CET Pick: over 213,5
Odds: 1.95 at Unibet


Category: NBA basketball
Date: 31-05-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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