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Toronto Raptors-Golden State Warriors    (lost)

3-1 Toronto leading the series with a potential winner here. Toronto looks like the obvious choice here after stealing 2 road wins, something which i didnt see coming but im gonna stay away from the obvious and back the points. So far it is 2-2 between under and over but i must say i could have easily been 3-1 for the over if Toronto wouldnt have been missing open looks like crazy in game 2 in 4th quarter. The only underish game was the last one when i was backing the over and it looked underish for the first half with defenses on top and refs not blowing the whistle and letting the game more physical, but even so Toronto missed again very good shots, while Curry had an off day with only 25 points. Thomson returned in style but even so Warriors just cant buy baskets from anyone outside Splash Brothers. Boogey Cousins looks like most overrated big in NBA, Cook, Livingstone, McKinnie or Bogut just average guys from the bench while much more was expected from veterans like Iguadala or Green, but they look like offensive liabilities and with only flashes of good D.
Obviously Toronto is better equipped, they have scoring options from everywhere, bench is not big but solid with good players like Ibaka or VanVleet, so it is not so big surprise that Warriors look outnumbered and outclassed, so they can basically score 110 easily if they wont miss wide open looks again and honestly it doesnt look like happening as warriors are not capable of sustaining same level of play, sure they have good defenders and can lock it up for a few minutes but it doesnt look like the same Warriors from the past, defensively speaking, and for sure injuries didnt help.
Now for Toronto this is game point and sometimes all the pressure is on you in this kind of spots and this pressure can affect you badly while i doubt Curry will have an off day again, plus they also missed plenty of good looks in last game, so i still expect a decent game from Warriors, as strange as this sounds, but it is an angle. Sure the most logical angle is again a dominant Toronto against a struggling champion team, but like they say: never underestimate the champion mentality and for sure Warriors has got that. But Toronto at one point should start playing and they have all the weapons to hurt GSW, so i do expect them around 105, while the same i do expect from Warriors, with much better contribution from the bench and Iguadala plus a better game from Curry, which should guarantee a closer game and maybe some FTs towards the end.
Published: 09-06-2019, 12:28 CET Pick: over 212.5
Odds: 1.98 at Unibet


Category: NBA basketball
Date: 11-06-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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