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Toronto - Ottawa    (won)

Toronto continues its six-game homestand Wednesday night against the Ottawa Senators.The Maple Leafs have totaled just six goals in their previous four games at Air Canada Centre against the Lightning (0-2), the Sharks (3-2 SO), the Canucks (3-2 SO) and Columbus Blue Jackets on Monday (2-3 OT), but I think that they might show better efficiency in offense in that game, given the fact that Craig Anderson (11-13-5 with a 3.23 GAA and a .897 SV%), who will start in goal for Ottawa, is obviously far from his best shape lately, as the 36-year-old goalie was pulled in the second period in Tuesday's 2-8 home loss to the Blackhawks after allowing four goals on 24 shots.Anderson has a 4.03 GAA and a .903 SV% in four starts in January and is 3-6-2 with a 3.06 GAA and a .899 SV% in thirteen road contests (twelve starts).
The Ottawa Senators had their two game win streak snapped Tuesday night, as they fell to the Chicago Blackhawks at Canadian Tire Centre, 2-8.However, more important for my bet is that the Senators have scored 12 goals in their previous two games against the Sharks on Jan. 5 (6-5 OT/home) and Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday (6-3/home) and three or more goals in half of their last ten outings, though they've won only three of them (3-5-2  28/43).
Frederik Andersen (22-12-2 with a 2.65 GAA and a .922 SV%), who will start between the pipes for the Maple Leafs, gave up three goals on 33 shots in Monday's 2-3 overtime loss to the Blue Jackets.Andersen is 11-5-1 with a 2.65 GAA and a .921 SV% in seventeen home contests, but has a 0-2-2 record with a 3.95 GAA and a .878 SV% in his last four starts against the Senators.
Nikita Zaitsev (d /34  4 goals + 6 assists) and Nikita Soshnikov (rw /3  0+0) are still unavaialbe for the Maple Leafs, while the Senators continue without Chris Wideman (d /16  3+5), Mark Borowiecki (d /12  2+1), Johnny Oduya (d /37  2+4), Bobby Ryan (rw /32  5+12) and Nate Thompson (c /39  4+7).
I expect more than five goals in that game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators.
Published: 10-01-2018, 17:29 CET Pick: over 5.50
Odds: 1.75 at Pinnacle


Category: NHL ice hockey
Date: 11-01-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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