Tottenham - Ludogorets    (won)

Europa League

Tottenham are leaders in England, play at their new multimillion/billion stadium and have 24 times higher squad market price in comparison to Ludogorets. Plus they are lead by Mourinho and won with ease 3:1 against this opponent in Razgrad 3 weeks ago. On the other hand Ludogorets have more than enough class to become champions in Bulgaria once again this season but the reality in Europe is different and the overall quality of Ludogorets in recent years is constantly dropping. Considering even an average quality European team like LASK scored 4 goals in their home match against Ludogorets I believe Tottenham will be considerably more effective especially when having in mind Mourinho is extracareful against Bulgarian underdogs after Loko Plovdiv gave him sufficient headache in the qualifier in September so  the hosts will probably use their regular lineup and that`s a death sentence for any inferior team which is the current case. It looks like Tottenham will play fully seriously and last time I checked LASK got torn apart 0:3 at this stadium lately and Maccabi Haifa conceded 7 goals at this pitch two months ago so nothing positive can be expected realistically by the guests. I believe nobody has illusions how this match will end and anything but a convincing home win would be a big shock inconsistent with the current European quality of Ludogorets. Ludogorets have bad history of European matches in England and this game will probably be an unwelcome addition. The COVID-19 crisis adds to the problems as several players of the guests are affected and will miss the game. The coach of Ludogorets is in fact a caretaker manager and has no coaching experience in Europe or outside Ludogorets. Unfortunately  the guests are too weak to offer solid resistance and this will probably be a full demolishion job. The chances of success of this bet are above 70%.