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Tsurenko L. - Gasanova A    (lost)

Waited for the right moment to oppose Lesia as she looked very insecure in Q, and not much better in her MD match. Although she won all 3 matches in 2 sets, I can not ignore the fact she had many flaws in her game and should loose at least a set on multiple ocasions. (Cavalle had 6-5 and serve, Rosca had 5-2 (double break) and 2 sp, and Prisacariu had 5-4 and serve). All her oponents failed to capitalize and if we take into consideration the fact that all are ranked outside outside #350 you get better point.

Gasanova was close to defeat against Jil, but managed to scramble and win at the end (deserved). She was better on court (exept double faults which were disaster), but Lesia is also double faulting a lot so far and lost many more serves as well as given many more break chances. Gasanova made some huge upsets this season over Pliskova, Pavlychenkova, beat Konjuh recently, took a set from Putinteva. To simply put it, I do not have the B to go on Ml, this match can turn into drama contest and considering 3rd set sickness this month, I don't wanna push it. But +1.5 sets at this price is a steal imo, odds should not be more than @2.5 on ML and around @1.5-1.6 on set. 

Also, one small but very significant mention:

Tsurenko did not pass 2nd round this entire season! And she played 16 tournaments.
Published: 26-10-2021, 17:15 CET Pick: Gasanova +1.5 sets
Odds: 2.02 at Pinnacle


Category: WTA tennis
Date: 27-10-2021
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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