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Twins - Blue Jays    (lost)

LHP Martin Perez will start on the mound for the Twins: 1-0 with a 7.56 ERA. But not so fast, he pitched MUCH better with a 12.96 K/9 even if he has a 9.72 BB/9.

Last year he allowed 4 runs in 4 innings against the Jays but prior to that against the Jays:

2016: 0.79 ERA

2017: 3.66 FIP

For the Blue Jays RHP Matt Shoemaker will start on the mound. 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA but really a matter of time till the numbers will catch up with him as we saw already against Boston: 3.64 xFIP.

In 15.2 innings he allowed 9 earned runs in his career against the Twins.

Biggest problem for the Jays here is that they are terrible against Southpaws. In fact, they are dead last against lefties with a .234 wOBA (!).

Twins look so good this year with Marwin Gonzalez who came from Houston and Cruz who they brought in from Seattle. With super reliever Hildenberger i will take my chances with the Twins here.

Published: 15-04-2019, 22:44 CET Pick: Twins -1.0
Odds: 2.11 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 16-04-2019
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 9)



LovelyJubbly 15-04-2019, 23:35
What do you think about under 1st half?
FightingBets 15-04-2019, 23:55
Good luck Four-Seam! Lovely you took bet about Schields saturday night?

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