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Valencia - Alba    (won)

Eurocup, playoffs finals, Game 3

The series is tied and this is now crucial game. Both teams won when were hosts. Still, Valencia in Game 1 here demolished Alba while Game 2 in Berlin was decided in Over Time.
Basically, there is nothing new to be said. Valencia is the team on higher level plus they have home court advantage, I must stick to that although I'm not underestimating Alba who has lot of talent.
Valencia is unbeaten here at home entire Eurocup campaign, after Game 1 this streak went to 11-0.

Basically, this clash between Valencia and Alba is going to be the clash between Valencia great defense and Alba offense (the best in Eurocup 88.5 pts). And here I must give advantage to Valencia. We saw in Game 1 how Alba's offense couldn't be constant on this tough road court. At the end they scored only 75 pts and it wouldn't be even that much if the game wasn't decided already after 3rd period so Valencia was more relaxed in final period. The host allow the second lowest number of offensive rebounds and makes only 11 turnovers per game which is Eurocup best. In Game 2 on the road this wasn't the case. Valencia made back then 19 turnovers, Alba only 8. But it still was tied game and decided in OT.
Obviously now back at home when Valencia again play their well known great defense, when they don't allow too many offensive rebounds (Alba's quality), when they cut again those turnovers to their usual number, in that case I feel Valencia shouldn't be in problems to win the match. 

I said in Game 2 preview how it would be good to Alba wins and we have Game 3 cause in that case, there is sure winner on Valencia. I still think so, but the handicap is bigger now. This time I opted for HT- FT bet on home team. You can find it at bet365 for odds 1.71.
IMO the same as in Game 1, Valencia would be dominant early. Almost double digits first quarter was back then. 

Published: 15-04-2019, 15:27 CET Pick: 1/1
Odds: 1.75 at William Hill


Category: European basketball
Date: 15-04-2019
Option: HT/FT
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



Boris 15-04-2019, 16:00
Over 162.5, Alba shoots threes a lot. Defense vs offense,who will win it :)))
FairPlayBet 15-04-2019, 21:19
46:33 halftime, so all good
FairPlayBet 15-04-2019, 21:20
Although it didn`t seem so at the beginning when game opened with 0:11 after first 3 to 4 minutes.
Boris 15-04-2019, 22:01
Good pick, i didnt play over on this match,thought maybe Pamesa will kill them with D.
FairPlayBet 15-04-2019, 22:08
If I called the Game 1 demolition, don`t know how to call this? Valencia really humiliated them. Bet won. Time to move on NBA & NHL, I have really good feeling about tonight`s games.

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