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Vavassori - Pellegrino    (void)

Challenger Bari

I don't really get the ML odds of this matchup as it's way closer IMO, the H2H also says 3-3 with 5/6 meetings being hard-fought. I think Vavassori is somewhat pumped because he played his first ATP event a couple of weeks ago, being lucky to qualify and even more facing CH-guy Kotov in R1, then he clearly lost to Shapovalov as expected. If this were played indoors it could be 60/40 for Vavassori, but on a slow hard court I think it's kind of equalized as Vavassori is the better server (not by much though), while Pellegrino is better/more solid from the baseline. Vavassori is the Italian Cressy playing S&V (not always), but his serving is not like Maxime's, Cressy himself collapsed yesterday (still fatigued/a bit injured) as conditions don't favour those players. I'm on Pellegrino's side once again, still through a safer pick as Italian derbies are prone to deliver 3-setters and I have such a problem to come through that kind of stuff (but only when betting on ML).
Published: 25-11-2021, 04:35 CET Pick: Pellegrino +3 Games
Odds: 1.97 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 25-11-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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