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Venezia - Partizan    (lost)

Europe » Eurocup » R1 of group stage

I feel this line for totals is low so I am going with over. 
Venezia is the defending champion in Italy. This time they started with 1-1 there. They are the team which usually could put some nice amount of points, especially at home. Last season they have averaged more than 80 pts when playing at home.
Partizan is very good this season. As I mentioned earlier they are the side to bet on. Of course when you find good spot. Today maybe not. Firstly they have had just one day off (yesterday) while the day before that they were in Zagreb playing ABA Super Cup finals (simply run over Cedevita Olimpija with 99:77). There is Zagreb they have played 3 games in 4 days. Today's visit to Venezia is going to be the 4th match in 6 days. Of course, Venezia had their own games too. They are also with only one day off since they played 2nd round match in Italian Lega A the day before yesterday. The second reason why I am avoiding Partizan today is more important. It's the reason we don't have too many points of handicap on them. Only 2 to 3 IMO is not enough although they could not just cover that but they could win today outright.
In any case, Over the totals is the choice I am interesting in. As mentioned above, Venezia usually scores a lot at home. Partizan on the mentioned ABA super cup as well in the preseason, was playing hard defense, on the edge of foul so basically they are making more fouls than usual and this means, more free throws than usual. Only the finals of ABA super cup was exception (21 foul) but thanks to fact the game was early decided and not too competitive match in the 4th quarter. Even with those only 21, Partizan has averaged 26 fouls committed per match on the tournament overall. Plus, Partizan offense seems to be working perfectly now early in the season.
The bottom line, I expect both teams to be at 80 pts margin. 
Published: 01-10-2019, 13:15 CET Pick: Over 155.5 pts
Odds: 1.89 at Unibet


Category: European basketball
Date: 01-10-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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