Ventspils - Teuta
Ventspils is in full season in Latvia although they are not having the best of seasons so far in the league sitting just 4th in the league they are 3 points away from the top 3 sides, having won two games in a row in the league with 2-1 in a row, still match fitness is an advantage over their opponents Teuta who are in the summer break, but Ventspils is not that great defending, they conceded 29 goals and scored 28 in 19 games in the league this season, at home they have a record of 5-5-0 so far, so pretty hard to beat in front of home support and with an average of 2.5 goals scored per home game of theirs, they played 5 games in a row with over 2.5 goals scored in them at this moment and 8 of their last 9 games in the league with over 2.5 goals as well, this what it is interesting about this fixture is that Teuta is a club from Albania, they finished 3rd there last season, and also last season in this same stage of the competition also in the Europa League, Ventspils played at home against Luftetari and the score was amazing 5-0 by half-time and they did not score more in the second half although their opponents had scoring chances it ended 5-0, while in the return leg in Albania it was also a game filled with goals 3-3 in the end as Ventspils did not just sit back and defend. I do not really like the odds on Ventspils though to win this game as their defense is not that good lately, and I feel Teuta will have scoring chances in this one, still home advantage and the fact that they are in full season should be an advantage for Ventspils but hard game and I would rather bet on the over line as I am surprised to see odds so high on the over line given the two games they played with Luftetari last season which both ended with over 4.5 goals and also like I said above Ventspils played 8 of their last 9 games with over 2.5 goals all of them, so a solid bet for today.
Published: 11-07-2019, 05:59 CET
Pick: Over 3 goals
Odds: 2.74 at Pinnacle
Category: European football
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)
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