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Venus Williams - Serena Williams    (lost)

WTA Indian Wells, hard, third round 

Williams sisters in their 29th mutual meeting. I think this will be one very entertaining match, real fun the the fans. And that's usually means all three sets. If not all three, I expect then at least very tied 2:0 victory for one of them, enough for profiting on over bet.

Which of the sisters should be in advantage here, it's tough to say. But it should be close match. 

17-11 is H2H in favor of Serena. They never met here in Indian Wells on this slower hard court. In fact for one huge period in their careers (starting somewhere from early 2000's all until 2015), Williams sisters did not even participated here. They have some issue with Indian Wells organizers. But that conflict has been solved few years ago and Serena and Venus came back here. 
Venus was not too successful though, was in QF last season while Serena as better of the sisters, had more success of course and was in SF and Finals in 2015 and 2016.

Out of those mentioned 28 mutual meetings even 19 went over this today's line. Especially more recent H2H speak in favor of over. 14-4 in favor of over in last 18.

The last time they met in Australian Open finals in 2017 that Serena has won 6-4/6-4.
That was the last match for Serena before break she took due to pregnancy. She was back exactly here on Indian Wells 2018. Beat Diyas and Bertens, both times 2-0 but both times very tied and easy over. Serena also played one exhibition before that and lost to Ostapenko. It was visible in that match that she is not yet ready but to be honest I wasn't impressed with her tennis either now here in Indian Wells.
So common sense tells me Venus should be in better position here to win but she also was not much on the court in 2018. Her win here in opening round over Cirstea was the first victory in the season not counting two matches in Fed Cup.
Also Serena must be a little bit more motivated since she is now without ranking and need WTA points.

In any case, I won't touch here winner market cause IMO this today will be sure over games.
Published: 13-03-2018, 00:20 CET Pick: Over 20.5
Odds: 1.8 at Pinnacle


Category: WTA tennis
Date: 13-03-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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