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Woodley vs Burns    (won)



     Oh baby what a beautiful day here, not a cloud in the sky. A perfect scenario for food, drinks, and Woodley-Burns fight. Watching tape on Woodley sure makes me want to take him, but with all the circumstances, I’m going with the live dog. 

     This fight could have future title implications, as the winner should get a title fight with Usman. For Woodley this would be a rematch, as he lost to Usman in March of last year. For Burns a much different situation, as it it would be a much deserved and anticipated title bout. 

     One big advantage for Burns in this fight is the last 18 months of fighting and preparation for this moment. He’s fought 5 times over this duration, going 5-0.  The last fight was in March, where he KO’d Maia in RD 1. He’s got all the MO right now, and I’d think he’s more physically prepared ATM than Woodley. 

     Woodley has fought once in the last 18 months, a loss to Usman. That was over a year ago, and with this pandemic I wonder his training schedule. Woodley lost his belt that fight, and I’m sure he’s looking for a rematch. 

     I’ve been breaking down my scenarios and the same ending has Burns winning this fight.  Maximizing value is a must, and ML bets in UFC offer little sometimes.  In this situation thou, this is a good return. I see more winning situations for Burns than Woodley. If Woodley doesn’t knock Burns out, than big advantage Burns. I think that’s Woodley’s best route to win this fight Fortunately Burns has only been KO’d once in his UFC career. 

     Burns seems to have more ways of winning this fight.  Some of the lines says this fight is going the distance, and I hope it does. At any moment thou, either guy could end it with one move. I’m betting a few plays for this fight, but the safest payout on Burns is this. 
Published: 30-05-2020, 17:33 CET Pick: Burns
Odds: 2.49 at Pinnacle


Category: MMA
Date: 30-05-2020
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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