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Wrexham - Ipswich    (lost)

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Both teams have around 50% of their matches over 2.5 goals. I have watched a few matches with Wrexham this year, and the matches often have a bit of a "Hawaiian feel" with open situations and chances both ways.

A couple of examples:

Wrexham – Forest in the FA Cup ended 3–3 (xG 1.89–3.12).

Wrexham – Sheffield Utd ended 5–3 (xG 2.11–1.60).

There are also several similar matches.

Wrexham also has a number of injuries, mainly to defenders. At the same time, they create a lot offensively, with xG over 1.5 in all of their last eight matches.

Ipswich are good, especially offensively, and score goals consistently.

I assess the probability at around 53%, with a value down to around 1.90 in odds on over 2.5 goals.



Published: 13-02-2026, 14:41 CET Pick: Over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2.02 at Pinnacle


Category: English football
Date: 13-02-2026
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 5 (tipster's average: 5)



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